Former State Senator Tony Strickland of Thousand Oaks has officially declared his candidacy for the 25th Congressional District, a seat presently held by Strickland ally Buck McKeon. Roll Call has the story. The 25th covers the Santa Clarita Valley as well as most of Strickland's former home of Simi Valley and most of the Antelope Valley. Strickland's people say this is a declaration made in the event of McKeon's retirement, but it seems that it's more a declaration made in advance of McKeon's retirement (McKeon has said he'd make a decision by January).
It's Official: Strickland is Running for the 25th
Strickland was on the losing end of the race for Ventura County's 26th Congressional District in 2012 and until last week, he was a candidate for that race in 2014. Republican Assemblyman Jeff Gorell will instead be running for that seat with Strickland's support.
Strickland has been raising a lot of money as a candidate for the 26th, with about $400,000 on hand as of September 30. While there are three declared Democratic candidates for the June primary, Strickland is the only Republican who has filed paperwork for the race, save for McKeon.
While it's long seemed the case that Strickland was raising big money for the 26th with the intention of choosing the easier path to the 25th, this move may have been hastened by very public discussion of this plan by other Republicans, most notably Assemblyman Scott Wilk, who would rather see a candidate from the district run if McKeon's retires.
Wilk has said he won't run for Congress next year, but in his October piece he mentioned Steve Knight, Sharon Runner, Peter Foy, Glen Becerra, Bob Kellar, Elton Gallegly and George Runner as possible Republican candidates. Knight has since said he's not going to run. Of those, it would seem the most formidable for Strickland would be Elton Gallegly or George Runner.
Gallegly is a retired Congressman who opted out of challenging Buck McKeon after redistricting. He has campaign money in the bank and experience at winning elections. He would also curb Strickland's appeal in Simi Valley. Runner's strength is heavy name ID in the AV and SCV, representing both in Sacramento since the 90s. Together, the AV and SCV comprise about 80% of the district's Republican voters. Strickland has some limited name ID in SCV from repping a slice of the SCV as a State Senator, and he'd probably have a lot support from McKeonland, but he's all but unknown in the AV.
But so far, no one on the local GOP bench is making much noise. That might change soon.
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